My initial angle into Southwell’s 7f 0-80 handicap (4.30) was to oppose current 3-1 favourite Kung Hei Fat Choi but I have gone full circle and I’m now going to back the beast.
Thirsk is a strong draw bias track but things become complicated when the ground is on the slow side and that’s the situation we are faced with today, as it’s officially good to soft (good in places) with showers forecast.
Prominent racers drawn in the middle of the track have enjoyed a big advantage on Newbury’s straight course in the past few seasons but the sprint handicap (4.15) has cut up to just nine runners and I can’t find an angle into the race.
Low-drawn runners are often favoured at Pontefract, regardless of trip, and backing stalls 1 and 2 blind in handicap company last year would have returned a profit of £26.91 to a £1 level stake (25 winners from 131 runners, 18.7% strike-rate).
They’re racing at Windsor this afternoon where the 6f handicap at 2.40 is the most interesting draw bias race . The stands’ rail (low numbers since the draw was reversed in 2011) is traditionally best, especially when the ground rides good or faster.